Here is my annual prediction post for the 2023 Oscars, i.e. the 96th Academy Awards. I really just consider the Top 8 categories on the blog but I often play the Oscar prediction game like lots of other people (on other websites) where I think about all of the categories. I generally split my predictions into who I want to win versus (i.e. who I would vote for) as opposed to who I think will win (i.e. who the Academy voters will vote for).
In 2023 I predicted five of the top eight correctly. This year I have seen nine of the (bolded) 10 Best Picture nominees (haven't seen Killers of the Flower Moon and I don't really intend to). Five of the nine we saw on streaming (either Amazon Prime or Netflix).
- "American Fiction"
- "Anatomy of a Fall"
- "Barbie"
- "The Holdovers"
- "Killers of the Flower Moon"
- "Maestro"
- "Oppenheimer"
- "Past Lives"
- "Poor Things"
- "The Zone of Interest"
I have been a Christopher Nolan fan boy since his film Memento broke my brain in the early 2000s. I literally listen to the soundtrack of either Interstellar, Inception or The Dark Knight on every single flight I take. I am very psyched that Oppenheimer led the nominations this year with13 (Poor Things close behind with 11) and very confident this will be his year to win Picture and Director.
SHOULD WIN: Oppenheimer.
WILL WIN: Oppenheimer.
- Justine Triet (“Anatomy of a Fall”)
- Martin Scorsese (“Killers of the Flower Moon”)
- Christopher Nolan (“Oppenheimer”)
- Yorgos Lanthimos (“Poor Things”)
- Jonathan Glazer(“The Zone of Interest”)
SHOULD WIN: Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer.
- Bradley Cooper(“Maestro”)
- Colman Domingo (“Rustin”)
- Paul Giamatti (“The Holdovers”)
- Cillian Murphy (“Oppenheimer”)
- Jeffrey Wright (“American Fiction”)
SHOULD WIN: Jeffrey Wright, American Fiction or Bradley Cooper, Maestro.
- Annette Bening (“Nyad”)
- Lily Gladstone (“Killers of the Flower Moon”)
- Sandra Hüller (“Anatomy of a Fall”)
- Carey Mulligan (“Maestro”)
- Emma Stone (“Poor Things”)
- Sterling K. Brown (“American Fiction”)
- Robert DeNiro (“Killers of he Flower Moon”)
- Robert Downey, Jr. (“Oppenheimer”)
- Ryan Gosling (“Barbie”)
- Mark Ruffalo (“Poor Things”)
- Emily Blunt (“Oppenheimerr”)
- Danielle Brooks (“The Color Purple”)
- America Ferrera (“Barbie”)
- Jodie Foster (“Nyad”)
- Da'Vine Joy Randolph (“The Holdovers”)
- “American Fiction,” Written for the screen by Cord Jefferson
- “Barbie,” Written by Greta Gerwig and Noah Baumbach
- “Oppenheimer,” Written for the Screen by Christopher Nolan
- “Poor Things,” Screenplay byTony McNamara
- “The Zone of Interest,” Written by Jonathan Glazer
- “Anatomy of a Fall,” Screenplay by Justine Triet and Arthur Harari
- “The Holdovers,” Written by David Hemingson
- “Maestro,” Written by Bradley Cooper and Josh Singer
- “May December,” screenplay by Samy Burch; story by Samy Burch and Alex Mechanik
- “Past Lives,” Written by Celine Song